Election Day, Nov 3 11 daysSenate D 82%House D 92%Governors D 89%Forecast updated Oct 23

What is on file for my candidate? A file on every member of Congress, governor and 2026 nominee: who funds them, the decisions on their desk, and the sources.

Watchdog file ยท PA

Stacy Garrity

Republican, running for Governor. Now Pennsylvania State Treasurer.

Tier 2 compactCook: Solid DnomineeResearch priority 1
Money ties on file43
Researched decisions70 more from office and committees
Interest blocs16
Compiled2026-10-23

Subject: Stacy Garrity, Republican, Pennsylvania State Treasurer, nominee for Governor, November 3, 2026 Compiled: October 23, 2026 for the On Point Politics watchdog database, onpointpolitics.us Data cutoff: Coverage through October 19, 2026 of filings through the June 9 to September 14, 2026 reporting period Next scheduled data drop: Pennsylvania pre-election report due October 23, 2026, not yet covered at compile time; then the 30 day post-election report in early December 2026

Bottom line up front

Garrity had raised a bit over $5 million since the start of 2025 by the September 14 report, against about $55 million for Josh Shapiro, per [Spotlight PA](spotlightpa.org). She entered the final stretch with about $1.4 million and had spent about $440,000 on advertising in the summer period, $204,000 of it on TV, per [Public Source](penncapital-star.com). Her money is mostly in state and small. About 86 percent came from Pennsylvania and her average gift was $457. Three interests combine money with a live decision:

  1. The skill game industry. She accepted a $33,500 flight from Pace-O-Matic founder Michael Pace. The company's PAC gave her $5,000. Her largest donor network, Bob Asher and his PA Future Fund at $345,000 in named 2026 gifts, runs through a man wire copy describes as a registered Pace-O-Matic lobbyist. Citizens Alliance, funded by Pace-O-Matic, pledged 750,000 doors for her. She backs the industry's flat $500 per machine fee.
  2. The Yass school choice network. Commonwealth Leaders Fund and Commonwealth Children's Choice Fund gave her $720,000 across her treasurer races, about a fifth of that money, and Commonwealth Leaders Fund gave again in 2026. She would opt in to federal tax credit scholarships on day one.
  3. The Republican establishment. Congressional committees, county parties, House GOP leader Jesse Topper and 2022 candidate Dave White form her second funding base, with a Mar-a-Lago fundraiser in spring 2026.

Her own finances add two conflict questions: natural gas royalties while she promises faster gas permits, and an insurance board seat whose sale would pay her $195,000 a year for five years.

Committee structure and treasurer

The formal committee name, filer ID and treasurer were not retrieved. Her committee raised $1,025,182 in the January 1 to March 30, 2026 period, $286,591 from March 31 to May 4, and $726,772 from May 5 to June 8, with debts rising from $140,354 to $193,336 across those reports, per the [Lower Bucks Times](lowerbuckstimes.com). It raised $1.8 million and spent $1.58 million from June 9 to September 14, per [City and State](cityandstatepa.com). No super PAC dedicated to her was found. Citizens Alliance of Pennsylvania is the main aligned outside group. Spotlight PA reported in April 2026 that the Republican Governors Association had not prioritized the race. No vendor, pollster or media buyer was named in any source read.

The skill game industry

Documented. Spotlight PA reports Garrity accepted a flight worth $33,500 from Michael Pace, founder of Pace-O-Matic, per the [Spotlight PA guide](spotlightpa.org). Operators for Skill PAC gave her $5,000 in the first quarter of 2026, per [City and State](cityandstatepa.com). Bob Asher, a former Republican National Committeeman, gave $20,000 that quarter and $75,000 in the summer period. His PA Future Fund gave $20,000 and then $230,000, her largest single donor. Tribune wire copy says Asher is a registered lobbyist for Pace-O-Matic, per the [Daily Gazette reprint](dailygazette.com), and the [Inquirer](inquirer.com) says the company hired a former RNC member without naming him. That link is stored as Secondary.

Hop two. Pace-O-Matic gave nearly $2.3 million to the Citizens Alliance national PAC since May 2025, per [WESA](wesanews.org). In 2026 a Pace-O-Matic affiliate gave $1 million to a Citizens Alliance super PAC, which gave $2.8 million to a state PAC of the same name, and Operators for Skill gave $950,000 to Citizens Alliance of Pennsylvania PAC, per the Inquirer. Citizens Alliance of Pennsylvania gave Garrity $10,000 and pledged 750,000 doors for her. Operators for Skill also gave $47,500 to Sen. Gene Yaw since 2021 and $70,000 to Sen. Anthony Williams since 2025. They are the two senators behind the $500 fee bill, and Yaw also gave to Garrity.

What they want and the lever. The state Supreme Court ruled in June 2026 that unregulated machines are illegal and gave lawmakers 120 days. No law passed and machines came out in October. Pace-O-Matic grossed about $525 million in 2024. The industry wants the $500 monthly fee, about $300 million a year, against Shapiro's 52 percent tax at almost $800 million. Garrity backs the flat fee, per the [Capital-Star](newsfromthestates.com). On October 17 she said Shapiro "sold out skill game operators," per [WPXI](wpxi.com). Her campaign declined to comment on Citizens Alliance. She frames the issue around VFWs, Legions and fire halls that host machines.

Inference: the dollar gap between the two tax plans is about $500 million a year, and the governor's signature decides it. The documented chain runs from Pace-O-Matic to Citizens Alliance and to Asher. The file does not store Pace-O-Matic money to Garrity's committee beyond the $5,000 PAC check and the flight, because no filing read shows more.

The Yass school choice network

Documented. Commonwealth Leaders Fund and Commonwealth Children's Choice Fund gave her $720,000 combined from 2020 to August 2025, about 20 percent of her treasurer era money, per [Spotlight PA](spotlightpa.org). Commonwealth Leaders Fund gave $10,000 in the first quarter of 2026. Spotlight PA describes that fund as almost entirely funded by Jeff Yass; it gave over $13.4 million to six candidates in 2024, mostly Attorney General Dave Sunday. Yass gave Students First $34 million over two years, per [Spotlight PA](spotlightpa.org). Yass groups were notably quiet against Shapiro in 2022, and no large 2026 Yass spending for Garrity was found in sources read.

What they want and the lever. Garrity said at the October 7 debate she would opt in to the federal tax credit scholarship program on day one. Shapiro is undecided.

Inference: Yass money is a historic pillar of her treasurer career but a small share of her 2026 race. The scholarship opt in is the decision that would give this network its return, and it may be settled by Shapiro before she could take office.

Republican establishment

Documented. Summer 2026 gifts: Dave White $100,000, Rep. Glenn Thompson's GT Commonwealth Fund $55,150, Rep. Dan Meuser's committee $31,000. First quarter: Montgomery County GOP $10,000, Meuser $6,000, Topper $5,000, Building Together PAC $25,000. Donors without stated amounts include Rep. Mike Kelly, Sens. Gene Yaw and Judy Ward, and seven state representatives. Adam Kidan paid $9,928 in kind on March 27, 2026 for the Mar-a-Lago fundraiser, per the [Inquirer](inquirer.com). Her other big checks: University City Housing Co. at $250,000 in late 2025, her largest single gift, and Bead's Jay Sykes at $20,000. Her running mate is Jason Richey, a construction and real estate attorney at K&L Gates.

Inference: the delegation money is loyalty money rather than a policy purchase. The Asher network sits at the center of both this bloc and the skill game bloc.

Own finances and disclosure history

Her state salary is $211,219. She earned $57,290 last year on the board of ECM Insurance, which Old Republic agreed to buy for at least $153 million. If the deal closes she would be paid $195,000 a year for five years as an advisor and could buy up to $350,000 in Old Republic stock at a discount of at least 30 percent, per the [Inquirer](inquirer.com). The State Ethics Commission reviewed the board seat at her request and found no prohibition. She also reports royalties from land leases to two natural gas companies, unnamed, which she will keep as governor, per the Inquirer and [Capital and Main](penncapital-star.com), while she pledges to fast track gas permits. Pennsylvania disclosures do not require amounts. No net worth estimate was found.

Enforcement and controversies

  • Pace flight. She reported accepting a $33,500 flight from Michael Pace. No campaign response was found in sources read.
  • ECM board. Critics question the board pay and advisory deal. Her campaign says she followed the law, that the Ethics Commission cleared the seat, and that she would resign the board entirely if elected. Shapiro's campaign said she "cannot be trusted to lead Pennsylvania."
  • Treasury actions. She added $45 million to Israel Bonds after October 7, 2023 and used unallocated funds for a $500 million loan program in the 2025 budget impasse. Both drew criticism; she denies the loan program was political.
  • Citizens Alliance. Sen. Camera Bartolotta urged Republicans not to appear with its chief Cliff Maloney. Maloney denies misconduct claims. Garrity's campaign declined to comment.
  • 2020 election. Spotlight PA reports she has questioned the 2020 results.
  • No FEC, State Ethics Commission or Department of State enforcement action against her committee was found in sources read.

Deal table

InterestMoney inAskLeverStakeDecision date
Skill gamesPace flight $33,500; Operators for Skill $5K; Asher and PA Future Fund $345K in 2026; Citizens Alliance $10K plus canvass$500 flat fee, legal statusSign or veto skill game billAbout $500M a year in tax difference2027 session and budget
Yass school choiceCLF and CCCF $720K since 2020; CLF $10K in 2026Scholarship opt in, vouchersOpt in, budgetNot quantifiedOpt in now with Shapiro
GOP establishmentWhite $100K, GT Fund $55,150, Meuser $37KLoyalty, appointmentsAppointmentsNot monetaryJan 2027 if elected
Real estateUniversity City Housing $250KNot statedNot identifiedNot quantifiedNone found
Natural gasHer own royaltiesFaster permitsDEPNot quantified2027 if elected

Levers and calendar

DecisionWho holds it nowWhenWhich donors care
Skill game tax and capLegislature, Shapiro signsFall 2026, 2027 budgetPace-O-Matic, Asher, Citizens Alliance
Federal tax credit scholarship opt inShapiroWeeks after Oct 7 2026Yass network
Gas permitting and energy special sessionDEP, legislature2027Gas lessees, manufacturers
Medicaid work ruleDHS, legislature2027None identified
Treasury investmentsGarrity as treasurerOngoingNone tied
CannabisLegislature, governor2027 to 2028None identified

Calendar. November 3, 2026: election. November to December 2026: Shapiro's scholarship decision and any lame duck skill game bill. Early December 2026: 30 day post-election report. January 2027: inauguration, and if she wins, a treasurer vacancy. February 2027: budget proposal. July 1, 2027: budget deadline. 2027 to 2028: energy special session, Medicaid work rule, gas tax pause.

What we could not verify

  • The committee's formal name, filer ID and treasurer; Transparency USA's [Garrity page](transparencyusa.org) failed.
  • The date of the Pace flight and the disclosure filing that reports it.
  • Asher's lobbyist registration, seen only in wire copy without outlet or date.
  • Amounts from Rep. Mike Kelly, Yaw, Ward and the seven state representatives, Cozen O'Connor and Duane Morris, and Keystone Honor PAC's gifts and funders.
  • Whether Commonwealth Partners or Yass vehicles are spending for her in the fall.
  • The October 23 pre-election report and any RGA spending.
  • Ballotpedia's 2024 treasurer total of $3,024,020 cites OpenSecrets and was not stored as an edge.
  • Snippet only URLs not read: [Daily Item](dailyitem.com), [Mon Valley Independent](monvalleyindependent.com), [WESA April 8](wesa.fm), [PoliticsPA](politicspa.com), [Armchair Lehigh Valley](armchairlehighvalley.substack.com).
  • Blocked sources not used: FEC, OpenSecrets, FollowTheMoney, Wikipedia.

Every money tie

43 rows, biggest first. Running totals are shaded and should not be added to their parts.
WhoAmountIntoInterestDateStatusSource
Jeff YassIndividual, one step back$34.0Mrunning totalStudents First PACSchool choice and familytwo years to 2024-12-31Confirmedspotlightpa.orgNearly all of Students First's donations
Commonwealth Leaders FundPolitical committee, one step back$13.4Mrunning totalSix candidates, mostly AG-elect Dave SundayBillionaire megadonor2024 cycle, as of 2024-12-31Confirmedspotlightpa.orgSideways: where the same Yass vehicle sends money
Citizens Alliance super PACSuper PAC, two steps back$2.8MCitizens Alliance state PACGambling2026, as of 2026-07-10Confirmedinquirer.comNo filing read shows this money spent for Garrity specifically
Pace-O-MaticCorporation, one step back$2.3Mrunning totalCitizens Alliance national PACGamblingsince 2025-05, as of 2026-06-22Confirmedwesanews.orgAlso reported by WPSU Jun 23 2026
Commonwealth Children's Choice FundPolitical committee, one step back$1.2Mrunning totalGOP candidates for treasurer and attorney generalSchool choice and family2024 cycleConfirmedspotlightpa.orgSplit between treasurer and AG races not stated
Pace-O-Matic affiliateCorporation, one step back$1.0MCitizens Alliance super PACGambling2026, as of 2026-07-10Confirmedinquirer.com
Operators for Skill PACPAC, one step back$950KCitizens Alliance of Pennsylvania PACGambling2026, as of 2026-07-10Confirmedinquirer.com
Commonwealth Leaders Fund and Commonwealth Children's Choice FundPolitical committee$720Krunning totalGarrity treasurer committeesBillionaire megadonor2020 to 2025-08Confirmedspotlightpa.orgAbout 20 percent of her treasurer era fundraising
Garrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedVendor payment$440KAdvertising, vendors not namedParty and leadership2026-06-09 to 2026-09-14Confirmedpenncapital-star.comIncludes $204,000 TV
Labor unions: laborers, steamfitters, electriciansUnion$320Krunning totalGarrity treasurer committeesLabor unions2020 to 2025-08Confirmedspotlightpa.orgAlmost 9 percent of her money; nearly all these unions also gave Shapiro
University City Housing Co., PhiladelphiaCorporation$250KGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedReal estatelate 2025Confirmedspotlightpa.orgHer largest single donation; Public Source calls it her only six figure check through early June 2026
PA Future Fund, PAC connected to Bob AsherPAC$230KGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedParty and leadership2026-06-09 to 2026-09-14Confirmedcityandstatepa.comLargest single donor to date per Public Source Sept 24 2026
Harrisburg lobbyists and firmsIndividual$200Krunning totalGarrity treasurer committeesHarrisburg lobbyists2020 to 2025-08Confirmedspotlightpa.orgIncludes GSL row; 21 of 33 also gave Shapiro
Dave White, 2022 gubernatorial candidateIndividual$100KGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedParty and leadership2026-06-09 to 2026-09-14Confirmedcityandstatepa.com
GSL Public Affairs and Communications, Stevens and Lee affiliateCorporation$84Krunning totalGarrity treasurer committeesHarrisburg lobbyists2020 to 2025-08Confirmedspotlightpa.orgIncluded paying for a 2023 country club fundraiser
Robert AsherIndividual$75KGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedParty and leadership2026-06-09 to 2026-09-14Confirmedcityandstatepa.com
Operators for Skill PACPAC, one step back$70Krunning totalSen. Anthony H. WilliamsGamblingsince 2025, as of 2026-07-10Confirmedinquirer.comWilliams co-sponsors the $500 per machine fee bill
GT Commonwealth Fund, Rep. Glenn ThompsonPolitical committee$55KGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedParty and leadership2026-06-09 to 2026-09-14Confirmedcityandstatepa.com
Operators for Skill PACPAC, one step back$48Krunning totalSen. Gene YawGamblingsince 2021, as of 2026-07-10Confirmedinquirer.comYaw co-sponsors the $500 per machine fee bill Garrity backs; Yaw also gave to Garrity, amount not stated, per City and State Sept 2026
Michael Pace, Pace-O-Matic founderIndividual$34KStacy GarrityGamblingreported by 2026-10-19, flight date not statedConfirmedspotlightpa.orgGarrity reported accepting a flight worth $33,500; underlying disclosure not read
Rep. Dan Meuser committeeCandidate transfer$31KGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedParty and leadership2026-06-09 to 2026-09-14Confirmedcityandstatepa.com
Building Together PAC, LanghornePAC$25KGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedUnresolved PAC2026-01-01 to 2026-03-30Confirmedcityandstatepa.comLargest Q1 2026 gift per WHYY; funders not identified
PA Future Fund, PAC connected to Bob AsherPAC$20KGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedParty and leadership2026-01-01 to 2026-03-30Confirmedspotlightpa.org
Robert Asher, Asher's Chocolate, former RNC memberIndividual$20KGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedParty and leadership2026-01-01 to 2026-03-30Confirmedcityandstatepa.comSpotlight PA reports more than $29,000 for the quarter; sources differ
Jay Sykes, BeadIndividual$20KGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedCrypto and finance2026-01-01 to 2026-03-30Confirmedinquirer.comOregon crypto payments founder; largest individual Q1 donor
Citizens Alliance of Pennsylvania PACPolitical committee$10KGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedIdeological groups2026-01-01 to 2026-03-30Confirmedcityandstatepa.comState chapter heavily funded by skill game interests per WESA
Commonwealth Leaders Fund, Yass fundedPolitical committee$10KGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedBillionaire megadonor2026-01-01 to 2026-03-30Confirmedcityandstatepa.comTribune wire copy suggests multiple $10,000 gifts; unresolved
Montgomery County Republican CommitteeParty$10KGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedParty and leadership2026-01-01 to 2026-03-30Confirmedcityandstatepa.com
George Dunbar, Birchwood Estates RealtyIndividual$10KGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedReal estate2026-01-01 to 2026-03-30Confirmedcityandstatepa.com
David JaindlIndividual$10KGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedOpponent contextabout 2026-03-25Confirmedspotlightpa.orgGave Shapiro $25,000 on 2026-03-18
Adam KidanIndividual$10KGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedTrump world2026-03-27Confirmedinquirer.comFood and beverage for the Mar-a-Lago fundraiser
Rep. Dan Meuser committeeCandidate transfer$6KGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedParty and leadership2026-01-01 to 2026-03-30Confirmedcityandstatepa.com
Operators for Skill PAC, Pace-O-Matic affiliatedPAC$5KGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedGambling2026-01-01 to 2026-03-30Confirmedcityandstatepa.com
Jesse Topper, PA House GOP leaderIndividual$5KGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedLegislative leadership2026-01-01 to 2026-03-30Confirmedcityandstatepa.com
PA Manufacturers' Association PACTrade association$5Krunning totalGarrity treasurer committeesManufacturing2020 to 2025-08Confirmedspotlightpa.orgManufacturing and metal donors near $100,000 overall in the period
Robert AsherRelationship, one step backn/aPace-O-MaticGamblingas of Q1 2026 reportingSecondarydailygazette.comTribune wire copy says Asher is a registered lobbyist for Pace-O-Matic; page showed no outlet date; Inquirer Jul 10 2026 says Pace-O-Matic hired a former RNC member without naming him
Citizens Alliance of PennsylvaniaRelationshipn/aStacy GarrityIdeological groups2026Confirmedwesanews.orgPledged 750,000 doors for Garrity; she welcomed it; group tried to unseat three GOP senators in the May 19 primary
Jeff YassIndividual, one step backamount not statedCommonwealth Leaders FundBillionaire megadonoras of 2024-12-31Confirmedspotlightpa.orgSpotlight says the fund is almost entirely funded by Yass; no filing read shows Yass to Garrity directly
Mar-a-Lago fundraiser with President Trump presentRelationshipn/aStacy GarrityTrump worldspring 2026Confirmedradio.wpsu.orgTrump endorsement not confirmed in sources read
ECM Insurance board seatRelationshipn/aStacy GarrityInsurance and tort2024 to presentConfirmedinquirer.comBoard pay $57,290 last year per campaign; Old Republic deal offers $195,000 a year advisory role for five years; she would resign if elected
Show the other 3
Two natural gas companies, land leasesRelationshipn/aStacy GarrityOil and gasas of 2026-08-06Confirmedpenncapital-star.comRoyalty income for years; companies not named; she pledges to fast track gas permits; campaign says she keeps royalties as governor
Jason Richey, K&L GatesRelationshipn/aStacy GarrityParty and leadership2026Confirmedspotlightpa.orgRunning mate, Pittsburgh construction and real estate attorney
Josh ShapiroRelationshipn/aGarrity for Governor committee, formal name not retrievedOpponent context2026-10-23Confirmedspotlightpa.orgIncumbent; Michael Rubin in-kind $78,200 to Shapiro is Garrity's main gambling counterattack

Decisions on the desk

What this office controls and which interests care about it
DecisionWhere it sitsWhenWho caresStakePositionSource
Skill game legalization, tax rate and machine cap, after the state Supreme Court ruling took effect in mid October 2026 and machines were pulledGeneral Assembly passes, governor signs or vetoes; Shapiro nowFall 2026 session and the FY 2027 to 2028 budget due July 1 2027Pace-O-Matic and Operators for Skill PAC, Asher network, Citizens Alliance; casinos including Parx; Fanatics owner Michael RubinIndustry backed fee raises about $300 million a year versus almost $800 million under Shapiro's 52 percent plan; Pace-O-Matic gross revenue about $525 million in 2024Backs a flat $500 monthly fee per machine, which the industry supports; said Oct 17 2026 that Shapiro sold out skill game operatorsnewsfromthestates.com
Opt in to the federal tax credit scholarship program created by the 2025 federal tax lawGovernor; Shapiro nowShapiro said on Oct 7 2026 he would decide in the next few weeks; deadline not foundYass network: Commonwealth Leaders Fund, Commonwealth Children's Choice Fund, Students First; PSEA on the other sideDollar value to Pennsylvania not foundWould opt in on day onespotlightpa.org
Natural gas permitting speed and a special session on energy affordabilityGovernor through DEP; legislatureFirst months of 2027 if electedHer own two natural gas lessees; manufacturing donors; building tradesNot quantifiedFast track gas permits; roll back the utility gross receipts tax; pause data center development under mandatory rulesspotlightpa.org
Medicaid work requirement for able bodied adultsGovernor through DHS, legislature2027 if electedNo donor bloc identified in sources readNot quantified20 hours a week of work, training or volunteeringspotlightpa.org
Gas and diesel tax pause and $750 summer rebate from the rainy day fundLegislature, governor signsSummer 2027 if enactedNo donor bloc identified in sources readAbout $8 billion rainy day fundProposedspotlightpa.org
State Treasury investments and lending while she remains treasurerGarrity as treasurerThrough her termNot tied to donors in sources readTreasury oversees $180 billion and directly manages over $55 billion; $45 million added to Israel Bonds after Oct 7 2023; $500 million loan program in the 2025 impasseDenies the loan program was politicalspotlightpa.org
Adult use cannabis legalizationGeneral Assembly, governor signs2027 to 2028 sessionNo cannabis donors identifiedNot quantifiedOpposes and would vetospotlightpa.org
Research notes: findings, inferences and gaps

Status convention used in edges.csv: Confirmed means the article body was read through WebFetch; Secondary means seen only in a snippet or in a page whose outlet or date could not be shown. Pennsylvania state filings were not opened directly. Web search budget ran out partway through, so several threads below stop at what fetched pages contained.

Thread 1: Committees and totals

Takeaway. A bit over $5 million since January 2025; about $1.4 million on hand entering October; rising debts through June.

Cited findings.

  • Q1 2026: $1,007,109.85 raised, $1,527,684.25 cash, $140,354.38 debts, abc27.com . abc27 labels $1,048,081.15 as 2025 raised; Lower Bucks Times labels it cash at the start of 2026. Treated as cash on hand.
  • Per period through June 8: $1,025,181.68, $286,590.69, $726,771.89, total $2,038,544.26; spending $1,900,585.41; debts $140,354.38, $161,399.30, $193,336.02, lowerbuckstimes.com
  • $3.2 million since 2025 through early June; $238,000 out of state, about 7 percent; average $457, penncapital-star.com
  • Summer: $1.8 million raised, $1.58 million spent, a little over $1.3 million cash, cityandstatepa.com ; Inquirer says about $1.4 million, inquirer.com
  • Bit over $5 million since start of 2025, spotlightpa.org
  • Treasurer races 2020 and 2024: $3.7 million combined, spotlightpa.org

Inferences. The Inquirer's "nearing $3 million" coffers phrase does not reconcile with other figures and was not used.

Gaps. Committee name, filer ID, treasurer.

Thread 2: Money in

Takeaway. Largest gifts: University City Housing $250K, PA Future Fund $230K, Dave White $100K, Asher $75K.

Cited findings.

  • University City Housing $250K late 2025; Pace flight $33,500; Keystone Honor PAC funded by manufacturing and construction interests, spotlightpa.org
  • Q1: Asher $20K, Dunbar $10K, Meuser $6K, Topper $5K, Building Together $25K, Citizens Alliance $10K, Commonwealth Leaders Fund $10K, Montgomery County GOP $10K, Operators for Skill $5K, cityandstatepa.com
  • Q1: Asher more than $29K, PA Future Fund $20K, Jay Sykes $20K, Strand $1,500, Jaindl $10K, Kidan in-kind nearly $10K, spotlightpa.org
  • Kidan $9,928 on March 27; Sykes runs Bead; more than 6,700 contributors, inquirer.com
  • Summer: PA Future Fund $230K, GT Commonwealth Fund $55,150, Meuser $31K, White $100K, Asher $75K; Kelly, Yaw, Ward and seven state reps without amounts, City and State September above.
  • Treasurer era: Yass funds $720K, unions about $320K, lobbyists nearly $200K, GSL $84K, PMA PAC $5K, David Taylor $3K, Spotlight August 2025 above.
  • Asher described as registered Pace-O-Matic lobbyist; Commonwealth Leaders Fund described as almost 20 gifts of $10,000, dailygazette.com

Inferences. The "almost 20" phrase likely means almost 20 separate $10,000 donors, not 20 gifts from one fund; stored as one $10,000 gift.

Gaps. Keystone Honor PAC amounts; Building Together PAC funders; University City Housing principals.

Thread 3: Money out

Takeaway. About $440,000 on ads in summer, $204,000 TV; direct mail fundraising in March.

Cited findings. penncapital-star.com ; Q1 travel $7,000, Spotlight April above; five figure direct mail fundraising payments, Inquirer April above.

Inferences. None.

Gaps. Every vendor name.

Thread 4: Own finances

Takeaway. Salary, ECM board pay and pending advisory deal, gas royalties.

Cited findings. inquirer.com ; penncapital-star.com ; career at Global Tungsten and Powders, ballotpedia.org

Inferences. Whether the Old Republic deal closed in Q3 2026 as expected is unknown; if it did, the advisory payments are live.

Gaps. Names of the gas lessees; royalty amounts; deal closing.

Thread 5: Enforcement and controversies

Takeaway. No enforcement actions found; controversies are the flight, ECM, Treasury actions, Citizens Alliance.

Cited findings. Spotlight guide above; Inquirer ECM above; wesanews.org ; radio.wpsu.org

Inferences. None.

Gaps. Her response to the Pace flight.

Thread 6: Hop two

Takeaway. The skill game chain runs Pace-O-Matic to Citizens Alliance and Operators for Skill to Yaw and Williams; the Yass chain runs Yass to Commonwealth Leaders Fund to Garrity and Sunday.

Cited findings. inquirer.com ; WESA above; spotlightpa.org ; Operators for Skill gave $1.4M since 2017 mostly to GOP caucus committees, Michael Pace sole owner, penncapital-star.com

Inferences. Asher sits on both the skill game and establishment chains; this is the single most important node to confirm with a lobbyist registration lookup.

Gaps. Pennsylvania lobbying disclosure for Asher; Citizens Alliance spending reports.

Thread 7: Levers

Takeaway. Skill game fee, scholarship opt in, gas permitting, Medicaid work rule, gas tax pause.

Cited findings. newsfromthestates.com ; wpxi.com ; Spotlight debate and guide above.

Inferences. See profile.

Gaps. Successor process for treasurer if she wins.

Thread 8: Votes and record

Takeaway. Treasurer actions: Israel Bonds $45M after Oct 7 2023; $500M loan program in 2025; backed 2022 lawsuit against RGGI entry; ESG letters in 2021 and 2022.

Cited findings. Spotlight guide above; Ballotpedia above.

Inferences. None.

Gaps. Dates and terms of the loan program.

From the On Point Watchdog Database, compiled 2026-10-23. Researched by the Watchdog desk from sources read in full; rows marked Confirmed mostly rest on news reports rather than the filings themselves, so check a figure against the filing before quoting it. Pennsylvania pre-election report due 2026-10-23, not yet covered at compile time; then the 30 day post-election report in early December 2026