2026 governor
New Hampshire governor average
Warmington vs. Ayotte. Ayotte leads by 10.4 points in the OnPoint average of 9 public polls, weighted by recency, sample size, voter screen and pollster grade.
Voter sample
Average over time
Each dot is one pollSpreadMargin over time
Trend lines
LOWESS, each poll counts onceAll polls
9 of 9| OnPoint average | Oct 5, 2026 | 9 polls | 40.1 | 50.5 | Ayotte+10.4 |
| YouGovC | Oct 5, 26 | 1,520LV | 40 | 49 | Ayotte+9.0 |
| Saint Anselm College for AARPC+ | Sep 29, 26 | 1,042LV | 45 | 52 | Ayotte+7.0 |
| New York Times/Siena UniversityNR | Sep 22, 26 | 613LV | 41 | 52 | Ayotte+11.0 |
| University of New HampshireC- | Sep 21, 26 | 1,418LV | 43 | 47 | Ayotte+4.0 |
| co/efficient (R)C+ | Sep 11, 26 | 958LV | 34 | 55 | Ayotte+21.0 |
| University of New HampshireC- | Aug 24, 26 | 1,878LV | 39 | 49 | Ayotte+10.0 |
| Saint Anselm CollegeC+ | Aug 18, 26 | 1,411LV | 38 | 49 | Ayotte+11.0 |
| Saint Anselm CollegeC+ | Jun 25, 26 | 1,614RV | 37 | 45 | Ayotte+8.0 |
| University of New HampshireC- | Jun 23, 26 | 2,232LV | 39 | 44 | Ayotte+5.0 |
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