2026 governor
Arizona governor average
Hobbs vs. Biggs. Hobbs leads by 5.9 points in the OnPoint average of 23 public polls, weighted by recency, sample size, voter screen and pollster grade.
Voter sample
Average over time
Each dot is one pollSpreadMargin over time
Trend lines
LOWESS, each poll counts onceAll polls
23 of 23| OnPoint average | Oct 4, 2026 | 23 polls | 47.5 | 41.6 | Hobbs+5.9 |
| GQR for Hobbs (D)NR | Oct 4, 26 | 600LV | 49 | 45 | Hobbs+4.0 |
| Arizona State UniversityNR | Sep 4, 26 | 1,300RV | 47 | 34 | Hobbs+13.0 |
| NextGen Polling (R)NR | Aug 19, 26 | 1,627LV | 39 | 38 | Hobbs+1.0 |
| HighGround, Inc.C | Aug 18, 26 | 400LV | 49 | 34 | Hobbs+15.0 |
| Quantus InsightsGold | Aug 17, 26 | 780LV | 49 | 43 | Hobbs+6.0 |
| Kreate Strategies (R)NR | Aug 16, 26 | 900LV | 45 | 40 | Hobbs+5.0 |
| Noble Predictive InsightsC+ | Aug 13, 26 | 923LV | 48 | 35 | Hobbs+13.0 |
| Stealth AnalyticsNR | Aug 13, 26 | 530LV | 43 | 38 | Hobbs+5.0 |
| Grayhouse (R)NR | Aug 11, 26 | 600LV | 49 | 45 | Hobbs+4.0 |
| The Tarrance Group (R)A | Jul 30, 26 | 600LV | 52 | 48 | Hobbs+4.0 |
| Fabrizio Ward and Impact Research bipartisanB | Jul 28, 26 | 913LV | 52 | 44 | Hobbs+8.0 |
| Noble Predictive InsightsC+ | May 7, 26 | 996RV | 41 | 37 | Hobbs+4.0 |
Every 2026 governor average
Click a stateBuilding state averages