TPSI poll · Survey toplines
The 2026 national poll
Weighted results among registered voters (n=316) and likely voters (n=249), fielded by The Public Sentiment Institute. Disclosure first polling on motivation, the ballot, hypotheticals, approval, the issues and policy.
MotivationVoter motivation, 2026 midterms74%Extremely motivated: 52% of registered and 74% of likely voters. High engagement expected among likely voters.
Generic ballot2026 generic congressional ballotD +9Democrats +8 among registered voters (41 to 33) and +9 among likely voters (50 to 41), including leaners.
2028 matchupVance vs NewsomNewsom +4A close race: Newsom 47, Vance 42 among likely voters, with undecideds still high.
Trump approvalPresident Trump approval49%Strong disapproval is the largest group, at 49% of registered and 48% of likely voters.
Party trust on key issues
Q18 · Registered votersEconomyD +4
ImmigrationR +16
HealthcareD +22
CrimeR +1
Trust DemocratsTrust Republicans
Democrats are trusted more on healthcare; Republicans lead on immigration. The economy and crime are within a few points.
Selected toplines
Registered voters| Issue trust | Dem | Rep | Net | Base | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy trust | 37% | 33% | D +4 | 282 RV | 2026 |
| Immigration trust | 29% | 45% | R +16 | 282 RV | 2026 |
| Healthcare trust | 49% | 27% | D +22 | 282 RV | 2026 |
| Crime trust | 35% | 36% | R +1 | 282 RV | 2026 |
Trump overall approval
Q16Strongly disapprove, registered49%
Strongly disapprove, likely48%
Strong disapproval leads every other response among both registered and likely voters.
Most important issues
Q7 · RVTop priorityEconomy
Economy mean rank3.58
Lowest priorityGuns
The economy and healthcare top the list; lower mean rank means higher priority.