2026 Senate
Texas Senate average
Paxton vs. Talarico. Talarico leads by 0.1 points in the OnPoint average of 7 public polls, weighted by recency, sample size, voter screen and pollster grade.
Voter sample
Average over time
Each dot is one pollSpreadMargin over time
Trend lines
LOWESS, each poll counts onceAll polls
7 of 7| OnPoint average | Mar 17, 2026 | 7 polls | 44.9 | 45.0 | Talarico+0.1 |
| Impact Research (D)NR | Mar 17, 26 | 900LV | 43 | 44 | Talarico+1.0 |
| Public Policy Polling (D)D- | Mar 5, 26 | 576RV | 45 | 47 | Talarico+2.0 |
| University of Houston/YouGovC | Jan 31, 26 | 1,502LV | 46 | 44 | Paxton+2.0 |
| Emerson CollegeB+ | Jan 12, 26 | 1,165RV | 46 | 46 | Even |
| Ragnar Research Partners (R)NR | Nov 17, 25 | 1,000LV | 44 | 44 | Even |
| Univ. of Houston/Texas Southern Univ.NR | Oct 1, 25 | 1,650RV | 49 | 46 | Paxton+3.0 |
| UT TylerC- | Sep 24, 25 | 1,032RV | 38 | 37 | Paxton+1.0 |
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