2024 archive
2024 Arizona presidential average
Harris vs. Trump. Trump leads by 3.9 points in the OnPoint average of 42 public polls, weighted by recency, sample size, voter screen and pollster grade.
Voter sample
Average over time
Each dot is one pollSpreadMargin over time
Trend lines
LOWESS, each poll counts onceAll polls
42 of 42| OnPoint average | Nov 5, 2024 | 42 polls | 46.3 | 50.2 | R+3.9 |
| HarrisXA- | Nov 5, 24 | 1,468LV | 46 | 49 | R+3.0 |
| AtlasIntelA++ | Nov 4, 24 | 875LV | 46 | 51 | R+5.0 |
| AtlasIntelA++ | Nov 2, 24 | 967LV | 45 | 52 | R+7.0 |
| NY Times/SienaNR | Nov 2, 24 | 1,025LV | 44 | 48 | R+4.0 |
| AtlasIntelA++ | Oct 31, 24 | 1,005LV | 46 | 51 | R+5.0 |
| Redfield & Wilton StrategiesC+ | Oct 31, 24 | 652LV | 47 | 48 | R+1.0 |
| YouGovC | Oct 31, 24 | 856LV | 48 | 48 | Even |
| Noble Predictive InsightsC+ | Oct 30, 24 | 775LV | 47 | 48 | R+1.0 |
| Data for ProgressC- | Oct 30, 24 | 1,079LV | 47 | 48 | R+1.0 |
| AtlasIntelA++ | Oct 29, 24 | 1,458LV | 46 | 51 | R+5.0 |
| Data OrbitalA | Oct 28, 24 | 550LV | 42 | 50 | R+8.0 |
| Mitchell ResearchB+ | Oct 28, 24 | 610LV | 48 | 50 | R+2.0 |