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25 DAYS OUT
SC SenGraham R +0.8NE SenOsborn I +1.2KS GovMasterson R +1.3IA SenTurek D +1.3KS SenHamilton D +1.4AK SenPeltola D +1.5FL GovDonalds R +1.7NV GovLombardo R +2.0TX GovAbbott R +2.5TX SenTalarico D +2.7GA GovBottoms D +2.9FL SenMoody R +3.1OH GovActon D +3.9ME SenJackson D +4.0OH SenBrown D +4.4WI GovCrowley D +5.2
TPSI poll · Field report No. 01

The Los Angeles mayoral race, measured

An original likely-voter survey of the June ballot: candidate favorability, the issues driving the city, and a verdict on Donald Trump.

465 likely votersMay 2026 Wave I±4.5 pts margin17 questions

One sample, six lenses

Every likely voter in the survey, recut by whichever lens you choose.

+0.0Bass leadsthe field with leaners allocated
Who leads the LA mayoral race today, with leaners allocated?

Seventeen questions, one electorate

The full survey
Q10Mayoral Race01 / 17

Los Angeles Mayor: Primary Vote

Who will you vote for in the LA Mayoral Election on June 2nd? · N=465 · LV Weighted

0.0%
Karen Bass
0.0%
Spencer Pratt
0.0%
Undecided
Karen Bass
30%
Spencer Pratt
15%
Other candidate
8%
Nithya Raman
7%
Adam Miller
5%
Rae Huang
4%
Not sure / undecided
31%

Bass leads the first-choice ballot, but a 31% undecided bloc leaves the race genuinely unsettled heading into June.

Methodology

The Public Sentiment Institute surveyed 465 likely Los Angeles voters in May 2026 (Wave I). Results are weighted to the modeled likely-voter electorate; the margin of sampling error is approximately ±4.5 points. Leaner allocation distributes undecided respondents by stated second preference. Figures may not sum to 100 due to rounding.

Fieldwork by The Public Sentiment Institute