SearchThe Weighting Room
12 DAYS OUT
GA GovBottoms D +0.6NE GovPillen R +1.3SC SenAndrews D +1.3AK SenPeltola D +1.7TX SenTalarico D +1.9ME SenJackson D +2.1TX GovAbbott R +2.4IA SenTurek D +2.4KS GovHolscher D +2.7WI GovCrowley D +2.8KS SenHamilton D +2.8MI SenEl-Sayed D +3.1NV GovFord D +3.1NE SenOsborn I +3.2OH SenBrown D +3.8OH GovActon D +4.2
Live monitor

Situation room

The wire, the board, the calendar ahead and the watchlist, on one screen. The desk runs on eastern time.

Checking the wireReading the calendar aheadThursday, October 22ET --:--:--
Generic ballot...Model loadingTrump approval...Model loadingRight track...Model loadingOn Point Polling pollB+18.8LA mayor, Bass margin with leaners allocatedProjected Senate56-4435 seats modeled nightlyRedistrictingR+9·D+6Enacted House nets, JuneNext election...Checking the calendarThe midterms11Days to November 3, 2026

The wire

Today’s contests and the latest pollsElection results
Oct 19
Siena/NYTGoldGeneric ballotD+11.0
52/41LV · 3,494
Strength In Numbers/VerasightGeneric ballotD+11.0
52/41RV · n/a
Reuters/IpsosGeneric ballotD+12.0
47/35RV · 1,279
Echelon InsightsGeneric ballotD+5.0
50/45LV · 1,010
Siena/NYTGoldTrump approval−23
36/59LV · 3,494
Strength In Numbers/VerasightTrump approval−28
34/62A · 2,028
Reuters/IpsosTrump approval−35
31/66A · 1,679
Echelon InsightsTrump approval−21
39/60LV · 1,010
Oct 18
CNN/SSRSGeneric ballotD+10.0
49/39RV · n/a
CNN/SSRSTrump approval−35
32/67A · 1,701
Oct 14
RMG ResearchGeneric ballotD+8.0
51/43RV · 2,000
Oct 13
ABC/Washington Post/IpsosGeneric ballotD+8.0
50/42RV · 2,032
RMG ResearchTrump approval−17
41/58RV · 2,000
ABC/Washington Post/IpsosTrump approval−33
33/66A · 2,545

The board

Last 90 days
Generic congressional ballot...Trump net approval...Direction of the country...Projected Senate56 - 4465 holdovers + 35 modeled · faded ticks are this cycle’s seats