2026 forecast · Colorado Treasurer
Jeff Bridges is all but certain to win Colorado's treasurer race.
Jeff Bridges vs Kevin Grantham, an open seat. The model has Bridges ahead by 20.8 points, with a 100 percent chance of winning.
Safe DModel D +20.8Updated October 22, 2026
Jeff Bridges
Democrat
57.8%
1,637,362 projected votes
Kevin Grantham
Republican
37.0%
1,047,658 projected votes
100%Bridges
0%Grantham
Bridges all but certainEach square is one simulated election night, Bridges wins about 100 of 100
D +40R +40Click a county to zoom · arrow keys step through counties by size
Where the margin is won
Bridges +707,240 net votes from 26 countiesStatewide D +20.8, a 589,703 vote marginGrantham +117,537 net votes from 38 counties
Projected statewide vote
2,834,656 votes| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Jeff Bridges D | 1,637,362 | 57.8% |
| Kevin Grantham R | 1,047,658 | 37.0% |
| Jodie Barr, Marilee Langner Sturgis | 149,635 | 5.3% |
| Total | 2,834,656 | 100% |
Expected votes at the projected turnout for this office, which runs a little below the top of the ticket because some voters skip down ballot races.
Projected vote by county
64 counties| County | Bridges | Grantham | Other | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Statewide | 1,637,361 | 1,047,658 | 149,635 | 2,834,654 | D +20.8 |
| Denver County | 273,198 | 45,965 | 17,787 | 336,950 | D +67.4 |
| El Paso County | 155,627 | 162,198 | 17,713 | 335,538 | R +2.0 |
| Jefferson County | 202,159 | 105,432 | 17,142 | 324,733 | D +29.8 |
| Arapahoe County | 189,968 | 88,351 | 15,510 | 293,829 | D +34.6 |
| Douglas County | 95,934 | 94,968 | 10,639 | 201,541 | D +0.5 |
| Adams County | 118,542 | 71,654 | 10,599 | 200,795 | D +23.4 |
| Larimer County | 117,303 | 70,364 | 10,458 | 198,125 | D +23.7 |
| Boulder County | 142,174 | 29,338 | 9,559 | 181,071 | D +62.3 |
| Weld County | 59,792 | 84,197 | 8,025 | 152,014 | R +16.1 |
| Mesa County | 30,787 | 46,495 | 4,306 | 81,588 | R +19.3 |
| Pueblo County | 37,757 | 35,006 | 4,055 | 76,818 | D +3.6 |
| Broomfield County | 27,504 | 11,406 | 2,168 | 41,078 | D +39.2 |
| La Plata County | 19,703 | 10,789 | 1,700 | 32,192 | D +27.7 |
| Garfield County | 14,394 | 11,407 | 1,437 | 27,238 | D +11.0 |
| Eagle County | 16,561 | 7,184 | 1,324 | 25,069 | D +37.4 |
| Fremont County | 7,454 | 14,726 | 1,236 | 23,416 | R +31.1 |
| Montrose County | 7,684 | 13,977 | 1,207 | 22,868 | R +27.5 |
| Delta County | 5,676 | 10,807 | 919 | 17,402 | R +29.5 |
| Elbert County | 3,807 | 11,682 | 863 | 16,352 | R +48.2 |
| Summit County | 11,371 | 3,717 | 840 | 15,928 | D +48.0 |
| Routt County | 9,668 | 4,207 | 774 | 14,649 | D +37.3 |
| Teller County | 5,005 | 8,846 | 771 | 14,622 | R +26.3 |
| Montezuma County | 5,525 | 7,435 | 722 | 13,682 | R +14.0 |
| Chaffee County | 7,116 | 4,740 | 661 | 12,517 | D +19.0 |
| Morgan County | 3,004 | 8,273 | 629 | 11,906 | R +44.3 |
| Park County | 4,703 | 5,489 | 568 | 10,760 | R +7.3 |
| Pitkin County | 7,765 | 1,905 | 538 | 10,208 | D +57.4 |
| Gunnison County | 6,516 | 2,898 | 524 | 9,938 | D +36.4 |
| Logan County | 2,053 | 6,952 | 502 | 9,507 | R +51.5 |
| Grand County | 4,480 | 3,829 | 463 | 8,772 | D +7.4 |
| Archuleta County | 3,625 | 4,176 | 435 | 8,236 | R +6.7 |
| Otero County | 3,017 | 4,665 | 428 | 8,110 | R +20.3 |
| Las Animas County | 3,319 | 3,507 | 380 | 7,206 | R +2.6 |
| Alamosa County | 3,200 | 3,304 | 363 | 6,867 | R +1.5 |
| Moffat County | 1,149 | 4,579 | 320 | 6,048 | R +56.7 |
| Clear Creek County | 3,404 | 1,842 | 293 | 5,539 | D +28.2 |
| Rio Grande County | 2,165 | 3,064 | 291 | 5,520 | R +16.3 |
| Prowers County | 1,166 | 3,387 | 253 | 4,806 | R +46.2 |
| San Miguel County | 3,408 | 763 | 233 | 4,404 | D +60.0 |
| Yuma County | 677 | 3,369 | 225 | 4,271 | R +63.0 |
| Huerfano County | 1,884 | 1,959 | 214 | 4,057 | R +1.9 |
| Conejos County | 1,621 | 1,855 | 194 | 3,670 | R +6.4 |
| Gilpin County | 2,114 | 1,258 | 188 | 3,560 | D +24.1 |
| Ouray County | 2,151 | 1,119 | 182 | 3,452 | D +29.9 |
| Lake County | 2,100 | 1,156 | 182 | 3,438 | D +27.5 |
| Custer County | 1,004 | 2,198 | 179 | 3,381 | R +35.3 |
| Kit Carson County | 525 | 2,623 | 176 | 3,324 | R +63.1 |
| Rio Blanco County | 538 | 2,590 | 174 | 3,302 | R +62.2 |
| Saguache County | 1,727 | 1,216 | 164 | 3,107 | D +16.5 |
| Washington County | 308 | 2,125 | 135 | 2,568 | R +70.8 |
| Lincoln County | 417 | 1,898 | 129 | 2,444 | R +60.6 |
| Bent County | 658 | 1,379 | 114 | 2,151 | R +33.5 |
| Phillips County | 379 | 1,635 | 113 | 2,127 | R +59.0 |
| Baca County | 272 | 1,468 | 96 | 1,836 | R +65.1 |
| Costilla County | 1,146 | 584 | 96 | 1,826 | D +30.8 |
| Crowley County | 479 | 1,233 | 96 | 1,808 | R +41.7 |
| Dolores County | 335 | 935 | 71 | 1,341 | R +44.8 |
| Sedgwick County | 263 | 890 | 65 | 1,218 | R +51.5 |
| Cheyenne County | 98 | 805 | 51 | 954 | R +74.2 |
| Kiowa County | 83 | 650 | 41 | 774 | R +73.2 |
| Jackson County | 149 | 551 | 38 | 738 | R +54.4 |
| Hinsdale County | 235 | 270 | 28 | 533 | R +6.5 |
| Mineral County | 216 | 244 | 26 | 486 | R +5.7 |
| San Juan County | 299 | 124 | 23 | 446 | D +39.3 |
Projected 2026 votes from the On Point simulation: each county's expected turnout times its simulated vote share. Totals may differ from the race total by rounding.
Range of outcomes
80 percent of simulations80 percent of simulations fall between D +30.4 and D +11.2. The white dot is the forecast; the line is a tie.
How the model gets there
statewide margin at each step| Top of ticket, Senate and governor | D +22.7 |
| Down ballot history, moved to 2026 | D +20.8 |
| Blend of every leg | D +22.0 |
| With incumbency and primary unity | D +22.0 |
| With polls, none in the race | D +20.8 |
Leg weights: Top of ticket 38%, Approval fundamentals 19%, Gallup, relaxed 13%, Down ballot history 31%. 80 percent of outcomes fall between D +30.4 and D +11.2.
Polls of the race
no polls| Pollster | Sample | Ended | Bridges | Grantham | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No public polls of this race. The forecast rests on the top of ticket, past results and the primaries. | |||||