2026 forecast · Michigan Michigan State University Board Of Trustees
Brianna Scott and Kelly Tebay Zemke is all but certain to win Michigan's michigan state university board of trustees race.
Brianna Scott and Kelly Tebay Zemke vs Julie Maday and Roger Victory, with Brianna Scott; Kelly Tebay Zemke running again. The model has Zemke ahead by 16.2 points, with a 100 percent chance of winning.
Safe DModel D +16.2Updated October 22, 2026
Brianna Scott and Kelly Tebay Zemke
Democrat
55.6%
2,761,038 projected votes
Julie Maday and Roger Victory
Republican
39.4%
1,955,430 projected votes
100%Zemke
0%Victory
Zemke all but certainEach square is one simulated election night, Zemke wins about 100 of 100
D +40R +40Click a county to zoom · arrow keys step through counties by size
Where the margin is won
Zemke +1,016,193 net votes from 24 countiesStatewide D +16.2, a 805,609 vote marginVictory +210,584 net votes from 59 counties
Projected statewide vote
4,962,234 votes| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Brianna Scott and Kelly Tebay Zemke D | 2,761,038 | 55.6% |
| Julie Maday and Roger Victory R | 1,955,430 | 39.4% |
| Daniel R. Patterson, Will Tyler White, Janet Sanger, John Sanger, John Anthony La Pietra, Yaz Ozbek | 245,765 | 5.0% |
| Total | 4,962,234 | 100% |
Expected votes at the projected turnout for this office, which runs a little below the top of the ticket because some voters skip down ballot races.
Projected vote by county
83 counties| County | Zemke | Victory | Other | Total | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Statewide | 2,761,042 | 1,955,433 | 245,759 | 4,962,234 | D +16.2 |
| Wayne County | 552,511 | 162,318 | 37,248 | 752,077 | D +51.9 |
| Oakland County | 429,036 | 224,291 | 34,043 | 687,370 | D +29.8 |
| Macomb County | 225,310 | 185,814 | 21,423 | 432,547 | D +9.1 |
| Kent County | 187,401 | 126,146 | 16,339 | 329,886 | D +18.6 |
| Washtenaw County | 155,276 | 37,884 | 10,065 | 203,225 | D +57.8 |
| Genesee County | 112,543 | 70,207 | 9,523 | 192,273 | D +22.0 |
| Ottawa County | 65,814 | 84,468 | 7,830 | 158,112 | R +11.8 |
| Ingham County | 95,504 | 34,187 | 6,757 | 136,448 | D +44.9 |
| Kalamazoo County | 82,301 | 42,569 | 6,506 | 131,376 | D +30.2 |
| Livingston County | 50,554 | 57,075 | 5,609 | 113,238 | R +5.8 |
| Saginaw County | 47,454 | 38,572 | 4,483 | 90,509 | D +9.8 |
| Muskegon County | 45,059 | 33,470 | 4,091 | 82,620 | D +14.0 |
| St. Clair County | 32,966 | 44,947 | 4,059 | 81,972 | R +14.6 |
| Monroe County | 33,824 | 39,681 | 3,831 | 77,336 | R +7.6 |
| Jackson County | 32,960 | 36,520 | 3,620 | 73,100 | R +4.9 |
| Berrien County | 36,018 | 33,378 | 3,616 | 73,012 | D +3.6 |
| Allegan County | 25,033 | 34,025 | 3,077 | 62,135 | R +14.5 |
| Calhoun County | 28,368 | 27,679 | 2,921 | 58,968 | D +1.2 |
| Eaton County | 31,494 | 23,346 | 2,858 | 57,698 | D +14.1 |
| Grand Traverse County | 30,102 | 22,950 | 2,764 | 55,816 | D +12.8 |
| Bay County | 25,983 | 24,623 | 2,637 | 53,243 | D +2.5 |
| Lenawee County | 20,450 | 24,726 | 2,354 | 47,530 | R +9.0 |
| Lapeer County | 17,026 | 27,968 | 2,344 | 47,338 | R +23.1 |
| Midland County | 20,592 | 21,706 | 2,204 | 44,502 | R +2.5 |
| Clinton County | 22,827 | 18,959 | 2,178 | 43,964 | D +8.8 |
| Van Buren County | 16,912 | 16,764 | 1,754 | 35,430 | D +0.4 |
| Marquette County | 20,869 | 12,575 | 1,742 | 35,186 | D +23.6 |
| Shiawassee County | 15,674 | 17,634 | 1,736 | 35,044 | R +5.6 |
| Barry County | 12,714 | 18,834 | 1,644 | 33,192 | R +18.4 |
| Ionia County | 11,847 | 16,722 | 1,489 | 30,058 | R +16.2 |
| Montcalm County | 10,633 | 17,778 | 1,481 | 29,892 | R +23.9 |
| Isabella County | 14,706 | 12,135 | 1,399 | 28,240 | D +9.1 |
| Tuscola County | 8,771 | 16,208 | 1,303 | 26,282 | R +28.3 |
| St. Joseph County | 9,222 | 14,615 | 1,243 | 25,080 | R +21.5 |
| Newaygo County | 8,144 | 15,599 | 1,237 | 24,980 | R +29.9 |
| Cass County | 8,855 | 13,529 | 1,167 | 23,551 | R +19.9 |
| Hillsdale County | 6,234 | 13,829 | 1,046 | 21,109 | R +36.0 |
| Emmet County | 9,956 | 9,363 | 1,007 | 20,326 | D +2.9 |
| Sanilac County | 6,194 | 13,061 | 1,003 | 20,258 | R +33.9 |
| Mecosta County | 7,681 | 10,969 | 971 | 19,621 | R +16.8 |
| Delta County | 7,626 | 10,362 | 937 | 18,925 | R +14.4 |
| Branch County | 6,338 | 11,095 | 908 | 18,341 | R +25.9 |
| Gratiot County | 6,904 | 9,775 | 869 | 17,548 | R +16.4 |
| Houghton County | 8,306 | 8,352 | 868 | 17,526 | R +0.3 |
| Wexford County | 6,059 | 9,748 | 823 | 16,630 | R +22.2 |
| Chippewa County | 7,138 | 8,498 | 814 | 16,450 | R +8.3 |
| Huron County | 5,499 | 9,942 | 805 | 16,246 | R +27.4 |
| Mason County | 6,873 | 8,166 | 784 | 15,823 | R +8.2 |
| Charlevoix County | 7,119 | 7,592 | 767 | 15,478 | R +3.0 |
| Leelanau County | 8,701 | 5,821 | 756 | 15,278 | D +18.9 |
| Alpena County | 6,170 | 8,086 | 743 | 14,999 | R +12.8 |
| Clare County | 5,187 | 8,797 | 728 | 14,712 | R +24.5 |
| Antrim County | 6,213 | 7,626 | 721 | 14,560 | R +9.7 |
| Cheboygan County | 5,677 | 7,965 | 711 | 14,353 | R +15.9 |
| Roscommon County | 5,351 | 7,818 | 687 | 13,856 | R +17.8 |
| Otsego County | 5,090 | 7,866 | 675 | 13,631 | R +20.4 |
| Iosco County | 5,462 | 7,487 | 674 | 13,623 | R +14.9 |
| Manistee County | 6,331 | 6,570 | 672 | 13,573 | R +1.8 |
| Dickinson County | 4,851 | 7,682 | 653 | 13,186 | R +21.5 |
| Gladwin County | 4,566 | 7,937 | 651 | 13,154 | R +25.6 |
| Oceana County | 5,160 | 7,244 | 646 | 13,050 | R +16.0 |
| Osceola County | 3,300 | 7,448 | 560 | 11,308 | R +36.7 |
| Benzie County | 5,695 | 4,896 | 551 | 11,142 | D +7.2 |
| Menominee County | 4,223 | 6,283 | 548 | 11,054 | R +18.6 |
| Ogemaw County | 3,732 | 6,540 | 535 | 10,807 | R +26.0 |
| Kalkaska County | 3,310 | 5,896 | 480 | 9,686 | R +26.7 |
| Missaukee County | 2,066 | 5,473 | 393 | 7,932 | R +43.0 |
| Arenac County | 2,798 | 4,606 | 386 | 7,790 | R +23.2 |
| Presque Isle County | 3,101 | 4,190 | 379 | 7,670 | R +14.2 |
| Gogebic County | 3,460 | 3,379 | 356 | 7,195 | D +1.1 |
| Crawford County | 2,723 | 4,088 | 355 | 7,166 | R +19.0 |
| Mackinac County | 2,780 | 3,521 | 328 | 6,629 | R +11.2 |
| Alcona County | 2,155 | 3,871 | 314 | 6,340 | R +27.1 |
| Iron County | 2,577 | 3,232 | 303 | 6,112 | R +10.7 |
| Lake County | 2,333 | 3,293 | 293 | 5,919 | R +16.2 |
| Montmorency County | 1,722 | 3,467 | 270 | 5,459 | R +32.0 |
| Alger County | 2,124 | 2,307 | 231 | 4,662 | R +3.9 |
| Oscoda County | 1,402 | 2,765 | 217 | 4,384 | R +31.1 |
| Schoolcraft County | 1,637 | 2,372 | 209 | 4,218 | R +17.4 |
| Baraga County | 1,503 | 2,116 | 188 | 3,807 | R +16.1 |
| Ontonagon County | 1,419 | 1,808 | 168 | 3,395 | R +11.5 |
| Luce County | 862 | 1,681 | 132 | 2,675 | R +30.6 |
| Keweenaw County | 681 | 648 | 69 | 1,398 | D +2.3 |
Projected 2026 votes from the On Point simulation: each county's expected turnout times its simulated vote share. Totals may differ from the race total by rounding.
Range of outcomes
80 percent of simulations80 percent of simulations fall between D +23.9 and D +8.6. The white dot is the forecast; the line is a tie.
How the model gets there
statewide margin at each step| Top of ticket, Senate and governor | D +7.6 |
| Down ballot history, moved to 2026 | D +22.0 |
| Blend of every leg | D +13.9 |
| With incumbency and primary unity | D +17.1 |
| With polls, none in the race | D +16.2 |
Leg weights: Top of ticket 38%, Approval fundamentals 19%, Gallup, relaxed 13%, Down ballot history 31%. 80 percent of outcomes fall between D +23.9 and D +8.6.
Polls of the race
no polls| Pollster | Sample | Ended | Zemke | Victory | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No public polls of this race. The forecast rests on the top of ticket, past results and the primaries. | |||||