Rhode Island House forecast
Democrats win control of the Rhode Island House in nearly every one of 2,000 simulations, against a Democratic majority today. All 75 seats are on the 2026 ballot; 2 races are within a 35 to 65 split.
Rhode Island House map
District shapes are estimated from where each district's voters live in the precinct returns, not drawn from the official boundary files.
Hover the map for the odds in any district. Click one to pin it here and find it in the table below.
Every seat
Average 67 D to 8 REvery House district
| District | Last winner | 2026 nominees | 2024 lean | Forecast | Dem win | Projected D votes | Projected R votes | Total | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | Paul M Santucci 2024 | Suzanna L Alba vs Paul Monti Santucci | R +8.0 | D +1.4 | 58% | 2,741 | 2,667 | 5,491 | Toss up |
| 42 | Richard R Fascia 2024 | Edward William Stravato vs Richard Rawdon Fascia ยท Edward Thomas Cardillo (D) withdrew | R +16.6 | R +2.5 | 36% | 2,918 | 3,068 | 6,076 | Lean R |
| 15 | Christopher G Paplauskas 2024 | Colleen Marie Crudele vs Christopher G Paplauskas | R +9.5 | D +5.7 | 82% | 3,778 | 3,369 | 7,255 | Lean D |
| 44 | Gregory J Costantino 2024 | Gregory J Costantino vs Joseph T Hosey | R +12.4 | D +8.3 | 90% | 4,062 | 3,443 | 7,619 | Likely D |
Projected Rhode Island House vote
75 seats on the ballot| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Democrats | 318,446 | 80.3% |
| Republicans | 76,641 | 19.3% |
| Independents and others | 1,351 | 0.3% |
| Total | 396,434 | 100% |
The sum of every district on the ballot. Each district's turnout is its 2024 top of ticket vote on today's lines, scaled to the forecast's 2026 statewide vote less a small share who skip legislative races, split by the district forecast. A district with no candidate from one party gives all its votes to the other. The district table lists each seat's projected votes.