Illinois House forecast
Democrats win control of the Illinois House in nearly every one of 2,000 simulations, against a Democratic majority today. All 118 seats are on the 2026 ballot; 4 races are within a 35 to 65 split.
Illinois House map
District shapes are estimated from where each district's voters live in the precinct returns, not drawn from the official boundary files.
Hover the map for the odds in any district. Click one to pin it here and find it in the table below.
Every seat
Average 89 D to 29 REvery House district
| District | Last winner | 2026 nominees | 2024 lean | Forecast | Dem win | Projected D votes | Projected R votes | Total | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | Nicole La Ha 2024 | Primary results not posted | R +6.4 | R +0.1 | 49% | 23,715 | 23,777 | 48,216 | Toss up |
| 70 | Jeff Keicher 2024 | Veronica Garcia-Martinez vs Jeff Keicher | R +6.4 | R +0.6 | 45% | 23,651 | 23,951 | 48,326 | Toss up |
| 64 | Tom Weber 2024 | AJ Johnson vs Tom Weber | R +13.3 | R +0.9 | 44% | 21,836 | 22,228 | 44,734 | Toss up |
| 48 | Jennifer Sanalitro 2024 | Primary results not posted | R +4.9 | D +2.1 | 64% | 20,930 | 20,061 | 41,616 | Lean D |
| 20 | Brad Stephens 2024 | Primary results not posted | R +9.4 | D +3.1 | 69% | 19,869 | 18,663 | 39,119 | Lean D |
| 118 | Paul Jacobs 2024 | Homer "Chip" Markel vs Scott Doody | R +15.7 | R +3.3 | 31% | 18,212 | 19,471 | 38,257 | Lean R |
| 79 | Jackie Haas 2024 | Primary results not posted | R +5.2 | D +4.5 | 78% | 18,607 | 17,018 | 36,167 | Lean D |
| 71 | Dan Swanson 2024 | Kermit Thomas vs Dan Swanson | R +7.7 | D +4.8 | 77% | 19,858 | 18,031 | 38,466 | Lean D |
| 111 | Amy Elik 2024 | Rosetta "Rosie" Brown vs Amy Elik | R +12.2 | R +5.3 | 20% | 17,963 | 19,974 | 38,515 | Lean R |
| 69 | Joe Sosnowski 2024 | Primary results not posted | R +13.4 | R +5.8 | 18% | 20,526 | 23,072 | 44,263 | Lean R |
| 65 | Dan Ugaste 2024 | Ricky Rivard vs Dan Ugaste | R +1.1 | D +6.3 | 83% | 25,029 | 22,040 | 47,785 | Likely D |
| 88 | Regan Deering 2024 | Primary results not posted | R +19.8 | R +7.5 | 13% | 20,645 | 23,998 | 45,324 | Likely R |
| 75 | Jed Davis 2024 | Primary results not posted | R +17.8 | R +8.1 | 12% | 19,984 | 23,502 | 44,147 | Likely R |
| 37 | Patrick Sheehan 2024 | Primary results not posted | R +20.5 | R +8.2 | 11% | 21,551 | 25,396 | 47,662 | Likely R |
| 63 | Steven Reick 2024 | Primary results not posted | D +0.8 | D +10.1 | 94% | 24,068 | 19,652 | 44,385 | Likely D |
| 114 | Kevin Schmidt 2024 | George McClellan Jr. vs Kevin Schmidt | D +1.4 | D +11.0 | 95% | 20,930 | 16,792 | 38,296 | Likely D |
| 74 | Bradley J Fritts 2024 | Primary results not posted | R +17.4 | R +11.5 | 3% | 16,790 | 21,149 | 38,517 | Likely R |
Projected Illinois House vote
118 seats on the ballot| Party | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Democrats | 2,550,796 | 57.1% |
| Republicans | 1,864,287 | 41.8% |
| Independents and others | 49,443 | 1.1% |
| Total | 4,464,530 | 100% |
The sum of every district on the ballot. Each district's turnout is its 2024 top of ticket vote on today's lines, scaled to the forecast's 2026 statewide vote less a small share who skip legislative races, split by the district forecast. A district with no candidate from one party gives all its votes to the other. The district table lists each seat's projected votes.